In an entrance test, there are multiple-choice questions. Each question has four possible answers, only one of which is correct. The probability that a student knows the answer to a question is $90\%$. If the student gets the correct answer to a question, what is the probability that they were guessing?

  • A
    $\frac{37}{40}$
  • B
    $\frac{1}{37}$
  • C
    $\frac{36}{37}$
  • D
    $\frac{1}{9}$

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Let $U_1$ and $U_2$ be two urns such that $U_1$ contains $3$ white and $2$ red balls,and $U_2$ contains only $1$ white ball. $A$ fair coin is tossed. If head appears,then $1$ ball is drawn at random from $U_1$ and put into $U_2$. However,if tail appears,then $2$ balls are drawn at random from $U_1$ and put into $U_2$. Now $1$ ball is drawn at random from $U_2$.
$1.$ The probability of the drawn ball from $U_2$ being white is
$(A)$ $\frac{13}{30}$ $(B)$ $\frac{23}{30}$ $(C)$ $\frac{19}{30}$ $(D)$ $\frac{11}{30}$
$2.$ Given that the drawn ball from $U_2$ is white,the probability that head appeared on the coin is
$(A)$ $\frac{17}{23}$ $(B)$ $\frac{11}{23}$ $(C)$ $\frac{15}{23}$ $(D)$ $\frac{12}{23}$
Give the answer for question $1$ and $2.$

$A$ computer producing factory has only two plants $T_1$ and $T_2$. Plant $T_1$ produces $20 \%$ and plant $T_2$ produces $80 \%$ of the total computers produced. $7 \%$ of computers produced in the factory turn out to be defective. It is known that $P(\text{defective} | T_1) = 10 P(\text{defective} | T_2)$. $A$ computer produced in the factory is randomly selected and it is not defective. Then the probability that it is produced in plant $T_2$ is

$A$ doctor is to visit a patient. From past experience,it is known that the probabilities that he will come by train,bus,scooter,or by other means of transport are respectively $\frac{3}{10}, \frac{1}{5}, \frac{1}{10},$ and $\frac{2}{5}$. The probabilities that he will be late are $\frac{1}{4}, \frac{1}{3},$ and $\frac{1}{12}$ if he comes by train,bus,and scooter respectively,but if he comes by other means of transport,then he will not be late. When he arrives,he is late. What is the probability that he comes by train?

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$A$ card from a pack of $52$ cards is lost. From the remaining $51$ cards,$n$ cards are drawn and are found to be spades. If the probability of the lost card being a spade is $\frac{11}{50}$,then $n$ is equal to

In a bolt factory,machines $A, B$ and $C$ manufacture respectively $20 \%$,$30 \%$ and $50 \%$ of the total bolts. Of their output,$3 \%$,$4 \%$ and $2 \%$ are respectively defective bolts. $A$ bolt is drawn at random from the product. If the bolt drawn is found to be defective,then the probability that it is manufactured by the machine $C$ is

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