There are $3$ bags,each containing $5$ white balls and $3$ black balls. Also,there are $2$ bags,each containing $2$ white balls and $4$ black balls. $A$ white ball is drawn at random. Find the probability that this white ball is from a bag of the first group.

  • A
    $\frac{16}{61}$
  • B
    $\frac{15}{61}$
  • C
    $\frac{45}{61}$
  • D
    None of these

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$A$ diagnostic test has a probability of $0.95$ of giving a positive result when applied to a person suffering from a certain disease and a probability of $0.10$ of giving a positive result when given to a non-sufferer. It is estimated that $0.5 \%$ of the population are suffering from the disease. If this test is administered to a person from this population about whom there is no information relating to the incidence of this disease and the test gives a positive result, then the probability that the person is a sufferer is:

Let $U_1$ and $U_2$ be two urns such that $U_1$ contains $3$ white and $2$ red balls,and $U_2$ contains only $1$ white ball. $A$ fair coin is tossed. If head appears,then $1$ ball is drawn at random from $U_1$ and put into $U_2$. However,if tail appears,then $2$ balls are drawn at random from $U_1$ and put into $U_2$. Now $1$ ball is drawn at random from $U_2$.
$1.$ The probability of the drawn ball from $U_2$ being white is
$(A)$ $\frac{13}{30}$ $(B)$ $\frac{23}{30}$ $(C)$ $\frac{19}{30}$ $(D)$ $\frac{11}{30}$
$2.$ Given that the drawn ball from $U_2$ is white,the probability that head appeared on the coin is
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Give the answer for question $1$ and $2.$

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